Triestina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
ABN
2 - 1
TRI
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 2
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
CTT
0 - 3
TRI
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 0
PIS
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
TRI
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
EMP
1 - 4
PAR
42%
27%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 0
TRE
73%
19%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAR
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |