Triestina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
LEC
2 - 0
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 1
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
TRI
0 - 1
BRE
53%
27%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TRI
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
TRI
3 - 0
CAG
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 2
VNZ
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 1
COS
52%
22%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASL
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAR
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 0
SSS
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |