Triestina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
CAG
1 - 3
TRI
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
TRI
3 - 0
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 0
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
VNZ
2 - 2
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 0
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 0
TAR
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 2
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |