Triestina vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
TRI
0 - 0
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 0
TRI
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
TRI
1 - 1
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
PAL
6 - 0
TRI
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
TRI
0 - 0
PAD
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 1
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
INT
5 - 0
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
PAD
1 - 2
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
NOV
0 - 1
FIO
46%
24%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
NOV
3 - 1
JUV
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |