Triestina vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
NAP
1 - 0
TRI
52%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
TRI
6 - 2
GEN
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
JUV
1 - 1
TRI
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
TRI
0 - 0
LAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
FIO
6 - 3
TRI
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
INT
0 - 0
NOV
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 0
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
GEN
1 - 1
NOV
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |