Triestina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
PES
1 - 0
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
MES
1 - 1
TRI
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
TRI
4 - 3
LIV
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TRI
2 - 1
SAL
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 1
TRI
69%
19%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 1
ASC
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
VER
1 - 1
NAP
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
AVE
3 - 0
NAP
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 1
PIA
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
MES
1 - 1
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |