Triestina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
TRI
2 - 1
UDI
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
PAL
1 - 1
TRI
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
TRI
0 - 6
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRI
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
BOL
4 - 0
TRI
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
NAP
2 - 1
LAZ
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 2
NAP
80%
13%
8%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
NAP
3 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
NAP
2 - 2
TOR
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |