Triestina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TRI
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASL
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 1
TRI
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
TRI
0 - 0
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
JUV
2 - 0
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
BAR
3 - 1
NAP
43%
24%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
NAP
3 - 2
ACL
44%
22%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 2
NAP
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |