Triestina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1933 |
TRI
1 - 0
BOL
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
ACM
2 - 2
TRI
68%
18%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
TRI
3 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
PAD
0 - 1
TRI
55%
21%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
BAR
2 - 1
TRI
47%
23%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1933 |
INT
3 - 5
NAP
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
NAP
5 - 0
PAL
75%
14%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
LEO
2 - 1
NAP
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
NAP
4 - 1
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
NAP
3 - 0
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |