Triestina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
LIV
1 - 0
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
TRI
0 - 0
INT
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
LAZ
5 - 0
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
ACL
2 - 2
TRI
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
TRI
1 - 3
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
MOD
0 - 1
VNZ
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1942 |
ATL
3 - 0
MOD
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
MOD
1 - 0
ACM
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
MOD
0 - 0
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |