Triestina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 2
TRI
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
ROM
1 - 0
TRI
62%
21%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 1
INT
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 1
TRI
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 0
ROM
39%
24%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
INT
2 - 1
MOD
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACL
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
MOD
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
MOD
2 - 2
VNZ
38%
22%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |