Triestina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 0
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
TRI
3 - 1
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1939 |
JUV
2 - 1
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
TRI
0 - 2
ACL
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 4
TRI
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
MOD
2 - 0
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 0
MOD
69%
16%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 0
MOD
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
NOV
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
66%
18%
17%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |