Triestina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
FIO
1 - 0
TRI
84%
10%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
GEN
2 - 0
TRI
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
TRI
0 - 0
PRO
52%
23%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
ROM
1 - 0
TRI
81%
12%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1932 |
TRI
1 - 2
NAP
23%
20%
57%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
32%
23%
45%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
BRE
2 - 1
MOD
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
MOD
5 - 2
TOR
33%
22%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
PRO
3 - 1
MOD
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 3
ROM
37%
24%
40%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |