Triestina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
NAP
5 - 1
TRI
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
INT
1 - 0
TRI
83%
11%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
TRI
0 - 0
PRO
49%
22%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
TRI
1 - 2
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
ROM
3 - 0
TRI
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
MOD
2 - 5
INT
39%
24%
36%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
MOD
2 - 0
NAP
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
GEN
5 - 3
MOD
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 1
PRO
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
TOR
1 - 1
MOD
69%
17%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |