Triestina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
ATL
7 - 1
TRI
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
PRO
2 - 2
TRI
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1952 |
TRI
2 - 3
FIO
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 1
TRI
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
TRI
0 - 0
NAP
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 0
PAL
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
31%
23%
46%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
UNI
2 - 1
ACM
19%
21%
61%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 4
ATL
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
61%
18%
21%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |