Triestina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
PAL
4 - 0
TRI
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRI
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
TRI
2 - 0
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 0
ASL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
INT
4 - 4
ACM
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
ACM
3 - 0
ROM
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1949 |
ACM
3 - 2
PRO
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAL
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |