Triestina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
TRI
1 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
VIC
0 - 1
TRI
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
VNZ
1 - 1
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 1
VNZ
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
INT
2 - 0
ACM
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 4
VIC
72%
16%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACM
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |