Triestina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
54.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 2
TRI
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
TRI
1 - 0
USA
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
JUV
0 - 1
TRI
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 1
TRI
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 0
TRI
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEO
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACM
25%
21%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
ACM
6 - 0
PAD
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
USA
2 - 1
ACM
31%
22%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
USC
0 - 3
ACM
20%
20%
60%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |