Triestina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
VNZ
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAT
0 - 1
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASC
1 - 3
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
TRI
1 - 2
CAG
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
COM
1 - 1
MES
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
MES
2 - 1
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 0
MES
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ABN
0 - 0
MES
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |