Triestina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
ROM
1 - 1
TRI
79%
16%
6%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 2
TRI
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 1
NAP
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
1 - 1
ROM
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
TER
1 - 2
TRI
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
MES
2 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
COS
3 - 3
MES
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
VNZ
0 - 2
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MES
2 - 2
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CAG
0 - 2
MES
59%
24%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |