Triestina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
USC
0 - 0
TRI
67%
22%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
TRI
1 - 1
PES
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
REG
1 - 0
TRI
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
TRI
1 - 1
UDI
38%
30%
32%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
SAL
2 - 1
TRI
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
MES
3 - 1
VER
37%
31%
32%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
MES
1 - 1
ANC
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
UDI
3 - 3
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
TAR
52%
28%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
SSB
4 - 0
MES
38%
29%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |