Triestina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
PIS
0 - 0
TRI
75%
18%
7%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
TRI
1 - 0
AVE
28%
32%
41%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
REG
3 - 0
TRI
53%
28%
19%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 1
TRI
66%
23%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
TRI
0 - 3
USF
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
MES
1 - 1
PES
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
66%
22%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
ANC
5 - 0
MES
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
MES
0 - 2
BRE
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
REG
2 - 2
MES
28%
32%
40%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |