Triestina vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
24.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
ANC
2 - 0
TRI
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASC
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
SSB
1 - 0
TRI
47%
30%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAD
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
ASL
1 - 0
COS
50%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
ASL
1 - 1
TAR
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
PES
0 - 0
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
ASL
1 - 2
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
ANC
2 - 2
ASL
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |