Triestina vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1948 |
ACM
1 - 1
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
SAL
2 - 2
TRI
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 1
LIV
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1948 |
ASL
1 - 1
INT
29%
23%
47%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
FIO
2 - 0
ASL
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
ASL
1 - 0
SAL
58%
20%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
TOR
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 2
ASL
73%
15%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |