Triestina vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
VNZ
1 - 0
TRI
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2003 |
SIE
1 - 0
TRI
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
TRI
1 - 2
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
TRI
3 - 1
ASC
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
GEN
2 - 2
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
VER
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CAG
1 - 1
LIV
41%
28%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2003 |
ANC
1 - 0
LIV
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 1
CAT
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |