Triestina vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
VNZ
1 - 1
TRI
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
TRI
0 - 0
INT
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
TRI
1 - 1
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
VIC
2 - 1
TRI
52%
23%
26%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
INT
0 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
BOL
1 - 2
LIV
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
LIV
4 - 2
LAZ
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ATL
0 - 2
LIV
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |