Triestina vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
INT
1 - 1
TRI
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
TRI
1 - 0
NOV
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
NAP
1 - 0
TRI
52%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
TRI
6 - 2
GEN
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
JUV
1 - 1
TRI
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 0
LIV
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
LIV
1 - 1
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
LIV
1 - 1
NAP
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
GEN
3 - 0
LIV
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |