Triestina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 1
TRI
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
TRI
1 - 1
GEN
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
ACL
0 - 1
LAZ
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACM
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
NOV
2 - 0
LAZ
32%
22%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |