Triestina vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
TRI
27%
28%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
ASA
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SIR
2 - 0
TRI
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TRI
3 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
TRI
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
LAT
0 - 3
PIS
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LAT
1 - 1
SSB
32%
29%
39%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAT
0 - 1
BV5
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PER
1 - 1
LAT
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
LAT
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |