Triestina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VIC
1 - 1
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
TRE
59%
23%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
TRI
0 - 0
PIA
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
ABN
0 - 0
TRI
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 1
FIO
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
CAT
1 - 0
GEN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GEN
4 - 1
VER
45%
25%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |