Triestina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
TRI
0 - 0
ATL
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
SAM
0 - 6
TRI
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
BRE
1 - 1
TRI
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
TRI
0 - 2
VIC
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
JUV
4 - 1
GEN
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
76%
13%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
GEN
0 - 0
VNZ
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
TOR
6 - 0
GEN
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |