Triestina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
TRI
1 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 2
TRI
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 0
ATL
57%
20%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
INT
1 - 2
TRI
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
TRI
3 - 0
NAP
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
GEN
0 - 2
ACL
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
TOR
0 - 1
GEN
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
GEN
4 - 1
BAR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
FIO
1 - 2
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |