Triestina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
ROM
1 - 0
TRI
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
NAP
2 - 2
TRI
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
TRI
2 - 0
BRE
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
ACM
0 - 0
TRI
56%
21%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
GEN
2 - 2
FIO
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
TOR
4 - 4
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
GEN
3 - 2
LAZ
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |