Triestina vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 0
TRI
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
TRI
4 - 1
LAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
TRI
0 - 0
GEN
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
TOR
1 - 1
TRI
92%
6%
3%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
GEN
4 - 2
FIO
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
FIO
1 - 1
MOD
64%
20%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 0
FIO
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |