Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Triestina vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FAN
1 - 0
TRI
13%
24%
63%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 2
TER
62%
24%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FER
0 - 2
TRI
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 0
FER
63%
24%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 2
FER
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
FCC
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
RAV
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
POR
30%
27%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |