Triestina vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
NOV
4 - 0
TRI
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PES
2 - 2
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 0
VOG
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ASC
3 - 0
TRI
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 1
VIC
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
TAR
24%
27%
49%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
FER
24%
27%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
ACS
66%
21%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAV
0 - 1
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
PRO
30%
27%
43%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |