Triestina vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GER
1 - 1
TRI
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TRI
4 - 2
LEO
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
TRI
41%
28%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 0
LEG
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 1
TRI
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 0
PAD
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 4
FCS
19%
27%
53%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 1
PAD
35%
26%
40%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
LEC
60%
24%
15%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
FCS
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |