Triestina vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 2
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
TER
3 - 0
TRI
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 1
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 2
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
35%
26%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
EMP
0 - 0
CRO
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 2
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ARZ
3 - 0
CRO
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
TOR
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |