Triestina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
UDI
4 - 0
TRI
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
TRI
1 - 2
TOR
19%
26%
55%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
TRI
2 - 1
USC
45%
32%
23%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
BRE
2 - 0
TRI
54%
29%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
TRI
2 - 3
PAR
47%
31%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
FCC
1 - 1
CES
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
USF
1 - 0
FCC
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 2
FCC
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
FCC
2 - 0
ATL
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
LEC
2 - 0
FCC
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |