Triestina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
UDI
3 - 2
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1959 |
PAD
2 - 2
TRI
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1959 |
TRI
0 - 0
VIC
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
JUV
4 - 0
TRI
81%
12%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
48%
22%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
FCC
0 - 1
ROM
33%
23%
44%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
57%
20%
23%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
FCC
1 - 0
COS
63%
17%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |