Triestina vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
TER
2 - 0
TRI
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TRI
2 - 0
FER
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
TRI
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TRI
2 - 2
ASG
55%
26%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 0
IMO
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FAN
0 - 0
VIC
26%
28%
46%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 0
FAN
30%
29%
42%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
FAN
0 - 0
VIS
39%
29%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
FAN
39%
30%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 0
RIM
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |