Triestina vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACL
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
TOR
2 - 0
TRI
76%
15%
10%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 0
FIO
47%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 2
VNZ
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
ATL
1 - 1
TRI
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1942 |
FAN
6 - 1
SAV
67%
17%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 1
FAN
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
ROM
6 - 1
FAN
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
FOR
2 - 3
FAN
43%
22%
35%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
REG
2 - 3
FAN
87%
9%
5%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | +1 |