Triestina vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ASL
3 - 0
TRI
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
TRI
1 - 1
USF
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
TRI
2 - 1
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
VER
4 - 1
TRI
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
USA
0 - 0
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
COM
1 - 4
ASS
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
PAD
2 - 3
COM
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |