Triestina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 2
TRI
49%
27%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
TRI
0 - 0
PRG
56%
26%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
PIS
1 - 1
TRI
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
TRI
0 - 1
TAR
62%
24%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
CES
2 - 0
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAM
52%
30%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAT
41%
32%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
GEN
0 - 0
CAT
63%
24%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
CAT
0 - 0
PES
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 0
BOL
48%
30%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |