Triestina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
TRI
5 - 0
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
TRI
4 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
CAG
1 - 3
TRI
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
TRI
3 - 0
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 0
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
CAT
2 - 0
TAR
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
CAT
2 - 1
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |