Triestina vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
PAD
0 - 1
TRI
55%
21%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
BAR
2 - 1
TRI
47%
23%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
LAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
TRI
0 - 1
JUV
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
INT
2 - 1
TRI
81%
11%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAZ
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
FIO
16%
18%
66%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
BOL
7 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAS
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |