Triestina vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
BOL
8 - 0
TRI
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
TRI
1 - 3
ACM
27%
22%
51%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
USA
4 - 0
TRI
59%
20%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1931 |
TRI
2 - 2
INT
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRI
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 1
TOR
19%
20%
61%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
MOD
4 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 2
FIO
12%
15%
72%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1931 |
CAS
2 - 2
USA
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
PRO
3 - 1
CAS
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |