Triestina vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
ROM
3 - 0
TRI
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
TRI
1 - 0
TOR
28%
24%
49%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
TRI
1 - 1
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRI
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
TRI
2 - 1
LAZ
25%
22%
53%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 1
JUV
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 89 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 0
INT
8%
14%
79%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
ACM
4 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
12%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 2
BOL
9%
15%
76%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |