Triestina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
TRI
25%
28%
47%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
IMO
0 - 0
TRI
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASG
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PAD
3 - 0
RAV
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 2
PAD
12%
23%
65%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
PAD
4 - 0
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAT
4 - 1
PAD
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
PRG
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |