Serie B Playout Playoffs Descenso Final
Global 0-3
Triestina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
FRO
2 - 2
TRI
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 1
ANC
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
PIA
0 - 0
TRI
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 1
REG
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ABN
1 - 2
PAD
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2010 |
PAD
3 - 1
ASC
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
CES
2 - 0
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |